Wednesday, March 25, 2015

2015 Draft Tiers

By using a special formula assembled from a variety of sources, I have been able to demonstrate just exactly where the tiers of talent lie in the 2015 NFL Draft class as well as areas of strength and weakness. Here are the details:

1 *Jameis Winston QB Florida State 1.75
2 *Leonard Williams DT Southern California 1.875
3 *Amari Cooper WR Alabama 4.375
4 Kevin White WR West Virginia 4.5
5 *Marcus Mariota QB Oregon 5.375
6 *Dante Fowler Jr. OLB Florida 5.625
7 *Randy Gregory DE Nebraska 7.875
8 Danny Shelton DT Washington 10.75
9 *Shane Ray DE Missouri 11.125
10 Brandon Scherff OT Iowa 11.75
11 DeVante Parker WR Louisville 12
12 *Trae Waynes CB Michigan State 13.125
13 Vic Beasley OLB Clemson 13.625
14 *Malcom Brown DT Texas 15.625
15 *Andrus Peat OT Stanford 15.875
16 *Todd Gurley RB Georgia 16.2857143
17 *Melvin Gordon RB Wisconsin 17.4285714
18 *Landon Collins SS Alabama 18.25
19 *Arik Armstead DT Oregon 19.625
20 *Ereck Flowers OT Miami (Fla.) 23.125
21 Alvin Dupree DE Kentucky 24
22 *Jaelen Strong WR Arizona State 24.1428571
23 T.J. Clemmings OT Pittsburgh 24.6666667
24 *Eddie Goldman DT Florida State 25.125
25 La'el Collins OT LSU 25.875
26 Cameron Erving C Florida State 27
27 *Marcus Peters CB Washington 29.125
28 *Jalen Collins CB LSU 30.75
29 *Eli Harold OLB Virginia 31.2857143
30 *Dorial Green-Beckham WR Oklahoma 32
31 *D.J. Humphries OT Florida 32.7142857
32 *Maxx Williams TE Minnesota 32.8333333
33 Kevin Johnson CB Wake Forest 33.4285714
34 Owamagbe Odighizuwa DE UCLA 33.8
35 Eric Kendricks ILB UCLA 34.4
36 Devin Smith WR Ohio State 37.5714286
37 *Jordan Phillips DT Oklahoma 37.6
38 Carl Davis DT Iowa 38.1666667
39 *Benardrick McKinney ILB Mississippi State 40.3333333
40 *Shaq Thompson OLB Washington 42.5
41 *Nelson Agholor WR Southern California 42.5
42 *Tevin Coleman RB Indiana 45.2
43 *Sammie Coates WR Auburn 45.6
44 Ameer Abdullah RB Nebraska 46.4
45 Preston Smith DE Mississippi State 47.3333333
46 Jake Fisher OT Oregon 48.25
47 Denzel Perryman ILB Miami (Fla.) 48.6
48 Phillip Dorsett WR Miami (Fla.) 49.3333333
49 *Devin Funchess WR Michigan 49.4
50 *Breshad Perriman WR UCF 50
51 *Duke Johnson RB Miami (Fla.) 53
52 *Jay Ajayi RB Boise State 53.8
53 Michael Bennett DT Ohio State 54
54 Nate Orchard DE Utah 54.25
55 *P.J. Williams CB Florida State 54.8
56 *Danielle Hunter DE LSU 56.3333333
57 *Ronald Darby CB Florida State 57
58 Laken Tomlinson OG Duke 58
59 Paul Dawson ILB TCU 59.6666667
60 A.J. Cann OG South Carolina 60
61 *Mario Edwards Jr. DE Florida State 61.25
62 Byron Jones CB Connecticut 62.75
63 Clive Walford TE Miami (Fla.) 64.25
64 Stephone Anthony ILB Clemson 64.6666667
65 Cedric Ogbuehi OT Texas A&M 64.8333333
66 Quinten Rollins CB Miami (Ohio) 65
67 Rashad Greene WR Florida State 65
68 *Alex Carter CB Stanford 65
69 Tre' Jackson OG Florida State 65
70 Hau'oli Kikaha OLB Washington 67
71 *T.J. Yeldon RB Alabama 70.25
72 *Brett Hundley QB UCLA 70.5
73 Tyler Lockett WR Kansas State 72.75
74 DJoun Smith CB Florida Atlantic 73.5
75 Grady Jarrett DT Clemson 73.75
76 Hroniss Grasu C Oregon 74
77 Anthony Harris SS Virginia 75.3333333
78 David Johnson RB Northern Iowa 77.5
79 Trey Flowers DE Arkansas 78.3333333
80 Ifo Ekpre-Olomu CB Oregon 78.5
81 *Kwon Alexander OLB LSU 83.6666667
82 Doran Grant CB Ohio State 86.5
83 Justin Hardy WR East Carolina 86.5
84 Cody Prewitt FS Ole Miss 89.25
85 *Mike Davis RB South Carolina 89.3333333
86 Jaquiski Tartt SS Samford 89.6666667
87 Marcus Hardison DT Arizona State 90
88 Lorenzo Mauldin OLB Louisville 91
89 Jeremy Langford RB Michigan State 92.5
90 Jeff Heuerman TE Ohio State 92.5
91 Ali Marpet OG Hobart 93.5
92 *Donovan Smith OT Penn State 94
93 Josh Shaw CB Southern California 94
94 Reese Dismukes C Auburn 95
95 Garrett Grayson QB Colorado State 95.25
96 Henry Anderson DE Stanford 96
97 Ty Sambrailo OT Colorado State 96.3333333
98 Markus Golden OLB Missouri 97
99 Steven Nelson CB Oregon State 97.3333333
100 Derron Smith FS Fresno State 98.3333333


The values attributed to each player is a consensus of many of the top prospects lists from the most respected draft experts. By averaging the numbers, discrepancies in evaluations and bias is mostly removed, leaving a clearer picture of a prospects true value.

In addition, large jumps in the value chart indicate a "tier" of talent where the level of players above the line is greater than those under the line. Some of these lines are fuzzy and range over a 2 or 3 pick range, but some are obvious as between pick 7 and 8 on this list.

Here is a chart to show what these numbers mean:

The green line is the pick number where the blue line is the pick "value" number. Where the blue line's slope goes back to the green line, that indicates a tier. In addition, where the blue line is below the green indicates a valley of talent.

Further explanation of these tiers will come later.

The Sports Narrative for 3/11/15

Spring has sprung, the time has jumped forward (for most of us) and it's time for The Sports Narrative to roll! On this episode:

- We break down the insanity of free agency in the NFL and give you analysis you won't get anywhere else on your favorite team

- The stretch drive for the NBA is off and the cream is rising. We talk all things hoops and if the Mavs are falling apart.

- Mick's Pub is a small respit from sports where the mysterious man known only as The Mick will tell us about controversy on his favorite show and more

- Mr Copening had a tough week as his Rangers took a big loss in Yu Darvish. We discuss the state of pitching in baseball, strategies to prevent so many surgeries, where the Rangers go for help and get an NL Central preview

- Conference tournaments are in full force and the bracket challenge is just around the corner. We talk the Syracuse punishment, cinderellas and our own Big Dance Bracket Bet

- The Floater segment this week will consecrate an item of much intrigue and in-fighting on our show: The Board of Bets!

- We finish with News and Notes including MLS gets started, NASCAR in Vegas, Six Nations Rugby, boxing on NBC and a vicious girl fight in college basketball

So listen to us LIVE each Wed 9p-12a or anytime after on our Youtube channel or at

The Sports Narrative Show 3/5/15

Another late start, another snow day and yet another award winning (don't fact check that) episode of The Sports Narrative! On this episode:

- Free agency is nigh upon us in the NFL and we talk big trades, big contracts and more

- While the NBA keeps going, we discuss tweeking some rules and then radically changing others

- We awaken the Mick an hour early for a rivoting Pub segment including a eulogy to Spock and boxing talk.

- It's Spring Training in baseball and time for bits! Mr Feltman talks about about the best bits of all time, Snopes has a eulogy of Mr White Sox and Dustin breaks down the AL East

- It's time for a full hockey segment. The trade deadline has passed and the stretch run has arrived. Who is a contender, a pretender and does it really matter?

- The final hour starts with a fun segment called The Floater. We talk movies, mascots and more

- We finish with News and Notes including a NASCAR moment, soccer business talk, cricket and whatever else we can put in.

So listen anytime on our YouTube channel or at

Monday, March 2, 2015

The Sports Narrative for 2/26/15

The Full Version of The Sports Narrative Show for 2/26/15

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