Thursday, April 27, 2017

Final Final 1st Round Mock Draft

1. Cleveland Browns - Mitchell Trubisky, QB, UNC
Yes the Browns actually do the unthinkable and pass on Garrett. Here's why:
- They don't believe Trubisky gets to pick 5
- They have shown they do not like to spend picks to trade up
- The owner Jimmy Haslam really wants Trubisky

2. San Francisco 49ers - Myles Garrett, DE, Texas A&M
We might see the Niners sprint to the front of the room to turn in this card. Garrett instantly gives that Niners defense credibility as an edge rusher.

3. Chicago Bears - Jamal Adams, S, LSU
The Bears are looking for a sheriff to run their secondary and Adams is just that guy.

4. TRADE Carolina Panthers - Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU
Back to back Tigers as the Panthers jump up to get their workhorse back.

5. Tennessee Titans - Mike Williams, WR, Clemson
After missing out on the Browns trade up, the Titans get a true #1 WR for Mariota.

6. New York Jets - Malik Hooker, S, Ohio State
The Jets covet Adams but will settle for the center fielder for Ohio State.

7. Los Angeles Chargers - Jonathan Allen, DT, Alabama
Arguably the best player in college football in November slides to #7 and teams on that DL with Bosa.

8. Jacksonville Jaguars - Deshawn Watson, QB, Clemson
The Jags drop back with Carolina and throw everyone a curve by drafting the National Championship QB from Clemson

9. Cincinnati Bengals - Solomon Thomas, DE, Stanford
The Bengals take the sliding talent of Thomas, though the Bengals love throwing mock drafters curve balls.

10. Buffalo Bills - OJ Howard, TE, Alabama
The Bills new HC came from Carolina and sees visions of Greg Olsen in Howard.

11. New Orleans Saints - Derek Barnett, OLB, Tennessee
The Saints want a pass rusher at 11 and a corner at 32 so they opt for Barnett over Lattimore.

12. Cleveland Browns - Marshon Lattimore, CB, Ohio State
After a bit of a tumble due to hamstring concerns, the best corner in this class pairs with Joe Haden in Cle.

13. TRADE Washington Redskins - Haason Reddick, LB, Temple
The Cards trade out with Washington and the Skins get the versatile LB from Temple.

14. Philadelphia Eagles - Christian McCaffrey, RB, Stanford
The Eagles finish off an offseason of remaking their offense with McCaffrey, who is a Jamal Charles clone for HC Doug Pederson.

15. Indianapolis Colts - Charles Harris, OLB, Missouri 
The Colts get the Tiger pass rusher for Chuck Pagano's defense.

16. Baltimore Ravens - Cam Robinson, OT, Alabama
If I only get 1 pick right in this entire mock, it'll be this one. The Ravens bookend their OL with the big man from Bama.

17. Arizona Cardinals - Patrick Mahomes II, QB, Texas Tech
The Cards get the future at QB with the gunslinger from Tech.

18. Tennessee Titans - Marlon Humphrey, CB, Alabama
The Titans get a corner with their second pick in the round to add to FA Logan Ryan.

19. TRADE Houston Texans - Deshone Kizer, QB, Notre Dame
The Bucs are looking for the highest bidder for this pick and the Texans are desperate for a QB.

20. Denver Broncos - Reuben Foster, LB, Alabama
The Broncos have shown no fear when it comes to drafting someone who failed a drug test at the Combine (Shane Ray) and get the sliding talent for their defensive front 7.

21. Detroit Lions - David Njoku, TE, Miami
With Eric Ebron disappointing, the Lions go for another dynamic TE/WR from Miami.

22. Miami Dolphins - Taco Charlton, DE, Michigan
The Dolphins want high character guys and their owner has strong Wolverine ties.

23. New York Giants - Garrett Bolles, OT, Utah
The Giants missed on an OT last year and it cost them in the playoffs. Bolles is an instant starter and could eventually move Flowers to RT.

24. Oakland Raiders - Kevin King, CB, Washington
The Raiders continue to add to their secondary in the first round with the tall, finesse corner from Washington

25. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Obi Melifonwu, S, UConn
After trading back with Houston the Bucs still get the big safety they covet ahead of Seattle. Though it's possible they trade back again out of round 1.

26. Seattle Seahawks - Forest Lamp, OG, Western Kentucky
The Seahawks need help on their OL and get a versatile guard/tackle type.

27. Kansas City Chiefs - Takkarist McKinley, OLB, UCLA
Surprisingly the Chiefs really struggled to get after the QB (28th in sacks) and take the high motor edge rusher from UCLA.

28. Dallas Cowboys - Adoree Jackson, CB, USC
The Cowboys add sizzle in all 3 phases with the speedy corner from USC.

29. Green Bay Packers - Joe Mixon, RB, Oklahoma
The Packers want to trade into the early 2nd round and still take Mixon but that might be difficult to pull off. Instead they take the player we are most likely to be discussing Friday afternoon.

30. Pittsburgh Steelers - Davis Webb, QB, California
The Steelers need the future after Big Ben contemplated retirement this off-season and reach for the signal caller from Cal.

31. Atlanta Falcons - Jordan Willis, OLB, Kansas State
Still more edge rushers come off the board with the K State Wildcat heading to Atlanta.

32. New Orleans Saints - Tredavious White, CB, LSU

The Saints end round 1 with the tough corner from their own backyard.

Final 1st Round Mock


  1. Cleveland Browns - Mitchell Trubisky, QB, UNC
Yes the Browns actually do the unthinkable and pass on Garrett. Here's why:
- They don't believe Trubisky gets to pick 5
- They have shown they do not like to spend picks to trade up
- The owner Jimmy Haslam really wants Trubisky

2. San Francisco 49ers - Myles Garrett, DE, Texas A&M
We might see the Niners sprint to the front of the room to turn in this card. Garrett instantly gives that Niners defense credibility as an edge rusher.

3. Chicago Bears - Jamal Adams, S, LSU
The Bears are looking for a sheriff to run their secondary and Adams is just that guy.

4. Jacksonville Jaguars - Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU
Back to back Tigers as the Jags get a workhorse in the backfield.

5. Tennessee Titans - Mike Williams, WR, Clemson
After missing out on the Browns trade up, the Titans get a true #1 WR for Mariota.

6. New York Jets - Malik Hooker, S, Ohio State
The Jets covet Adams but will settle for the center fielder for Ohio State.

7. Los Angeles Chargers - Jonathan Allen, DT, Alabama
Arguably the best player in college football in November slides to #7 and teams on that DL with Bosa.

8. Carolina Panthers - Solomon Thomas, DE, Stanford
While the Panthers like the RB from Stanford, it's impossible to pass on the other Cardinal prospect as a force rushing the passer.

9. Cincinnati Bengals - John Ross, WR, Washington
The Bengals shock most and add the speedy WR from Washington to pair with AJ Green.

10. Buffalo Bills - OJ Howard, TE, Alabama
The Bills new HC came from Carolina and sees visions of Greg Olsen in Howard.

11. New Orleans Saints - Derek Barnett, OLB, Tennessee
The Saints want a pass rusher at 11 and a corner at 32 so they opt for Barnett over Lattimore.

12. Cleveland Browns - Marshon Lattimore, CB, Ohio State
After a bit of a tumble due to hamstring concerns, the best corner in this class pairs with Joe Haden in Cle.

13. TRADE Washington Redskins - Haason Reddick, LB, Temple
The Cards trade out with Washington and the Skins get the versatile LB from Temple.

14. Philadelphia Eagles - Christian McCaffrey, RB, Stanford
The Eagles finish off an offseason of remaking their offense with McCaffrey, who is a Jamal Charles clone for HC Doug Pederson.

15. Indianapolis Colts - Charles Harris, OLB, Missouri 
The Colts get the Tiger pass rusher for Chuck Pagano's defense.

16. Baltimore Ravens - Cam Robinson, OT, Alabama
If I only get 1 pick right in this entire mock, it'll be this one. The Ravens bookend their OL with the big man from Bama.

17. Arizona Cardinals - Patrick Mahomes II, QB, Texas Tech
The Cards get the future at QB with the gunslinger from Tech.

18. Tennessee Titans - Marlon Humphrey, CB, Alabama
The Titans get a corner with their second pick in the round to add to FA Logan Ryan.

19. TRADE Houston Texans - Deshaun Watson, QB, Clemson
The Bucs are looking for the highest bidder for this pick and the Texans are desperate for a QB.

20. Denver Broncos - Reuben Foster, LB, Alabama
The Broncos have shown no fear when it comes to drafting someone who failed a drug test at the Combine (Shane Ray) and get the sliding talent for their defensive front 7.

21. Detroit Lions - David Njoku, TE, Miami
With Eric Ebron disappointing, the Lions go for another dynamic TE/WR from Miami.

22. Miami Dolphins - Taco Charlton, DE, Michigan
The Dolphins want high character guys and their owner has strong Wolverine ties.

23. New York Giants - Garrett Bolles, OT, Utah
The Giants missed on an OT last year and it cost them in the playoffs. Bolles is an instant starter and could eventually move Flowers to RT.

24. Oakland Raiders - Kevin King, CB, Washington
The Raiders continue to add to their secondary in the first round with the tall, finesse corner from Washington

25. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Obi Melifonwu, S, UConn
After trading back with Houston the Bucs still get the big safety they covet ahead of Seattle. Though it's possible they trade back again out of round 1.

26. TRADE Pittsburgh Steelers - Deshone Kizer, QB, Notre Dame
With Big Ben having pondered retirement in the offseason, the Steelers need to secure their future and must trade up ahead of other teams in the early second.

27. Kansas City Chiefs - Davis Webb, QB, California
The Chiefs reach for a QB in round 1 and grab the Cal Bear signal caller.

28. Dallas Cowboys - Adoree Jackson, CB, USC
The Cowboys add sizzle in all 3 phases with the speedy corner from USC.

29. Green Bay Packers - Takk McKinley, OLB, UCLA
The Packers need more pass rush to help their beleaguered secondary and get a high motor OLB.

30. Seattle Seahawks - Forest Lamp, OG, Western Kentucky
The Seahawks need help on their OL and get a versatile guard/tackle type.

31. Atlanta Falcons - Jordan Willis, OLB, Kansas State
Still more edge rushers come off the board with the K State Wildcat heading to Atlanta.

32. New Orleans Saints - Tredavious White, CB, LSU

The Saints end round 1 with the tough corner from their own backyard.

Monday, April 24, 2017

The Draft Narrative Show 2017 Episode 17


Our final look at positiional groups, teams 25-28 in draft order and some general thoughts on the top of the draft all coming at you LIVE Monday April 24 starting at 4:10pm CDT with hosts Jeff Bowers and Darren Boyd

Consensus Top 100 2017


It’s Draft Week! For most teams the draft board is set with Plans A through Z ready. Rumors swirl now of trades for those teams near the edge of a tier of talent as they try to move up or down in trade. Over the years I have developed my consensus Top 100, a combination of several reputable draft evaluators put into a formula to get to a general view of a prospect’s value. Of course, every team has different values on players and it only takes one team to make the 100th ranked prospect a 1st rounder. In the consensus 100, we also can see areas approximately where the talent tiers lie based on where their raw average data shows big jumps. Here is the full list:



Rank
Consensus Rank
PLAYER
POS.
SCHOOL
CLASS
HT.
WT.
1
1.00
*Myles Garrett
DE
Texas A&M
Jr
6/4
272
2
4.10
Jonathan Allen
DT
Alabama
Sr
6/3
286
3
4.40
*Jamal Adams
SS
LSU
Jr
6/1
214
4
5.50
*Solomon Thomas
DE
Stanford
rSo
6/3
273
5
6.10
*Malik Hooker
FS
Ohio State
rSo
6/1
206
6
6.60
*Marshon Lattimore
CB
Ohio State
rSo
6/1
193
7
8.80
*Leonard Fournette
RB
LSU
Jr
6/1
240
8
9.90
Reuben Foster
ILB
Alabama
Sr
6/1
229
9
10.20
O.J. Howard
TE
Alabama
Sr
6/6
251
10
11.30
*Dalvin Cook
RB
Florida State
Jr
5/10
210
11
14.50
Corey Davis
WR
W Michigan
Sr
6/3
209
12
14.80
*Mike Williams
WR
Clemson
rJr
6/4
218
13
15.10
*Derek Barnett
DE
Tennessee
Jr
6/3
259
14
17.10
*John Ross
WR
Washington
rJr
5/11
188
15
19.11
Haason Reddick
OLB
Temple
rSr
6/1
237
16
19.67
*Ryan Ramczyk
OT
Wisconsin
rJr
6/6
310
17
19.80
*Christian McCaffrey
RB
Stanford
Jr
5/11
202
18
20.00
*David Njoku
TE
Miami (Fla.)
rSo
6/4
246
19
21.25
*Marlon Humphrey
CB
Alabama
rSo
6/1
197
20
21.33
*Deshaun Watson
QB
Clemson
Jr
6/2
221
21
22.60
Taco Charlton
DE
Michigan
Sr
6/6
277
22
24.50
*Mitch Trubisky
QB
North Carolina
rJr
6/2
222
23
25.78
Forrest Lamp
OG
W Kentucky
rSr
6/4
309
24
27.67
*Malik McDowell
DT
Michigan State
Jr
6/6
295
25
28.89
*Jabrill Peppers
SS
Michigan
rSo
5/11
213
26
29.70
TreDavious White
CB
LSU
Sr
5/11
192
27
30.00
*Garett Bolles
OT
Utah
Jr
6/5
297
28
30.70
Takkarist McKinley
OLB
UCLA
Sr
6/2
250
29
31.11
*Zach Cunningham
OLB
Vanderbilt
rJr
6/3
234
30
33.56
*Charles Harris
DE
Missouri
rJr
6/3
253
31
34.33
*Cam Robinson
OT
Alabama
Jr
6/6
322
32
35.88
*Teez Tabor
CB
Florida
Jr
6/1
199
33
36.33
*Gareon Conley
CB
Ohio State
rJr
6/1
195
34
39.56
Evan Engram
TE
Ole Miss
Sr
6/3
234
35
39.67
*Patrick Mahomes II
QB
Texas Tech
Jr
6/2
225
36
40.00
*DeShone Kizer
QB
Notre Dame
rSo
6/4
233
37
41.88
*T.J. Watt
OLB
Wisconsin
rJr
6/4
252
38
42.00
*Adoree' Jackson
CB
USC
Jr
5/10
186
39
42.00
Tim Williams
OLB
Alabama
Sr
6/3
244
40
42.60
*Budda Baker
FS
Washington
Jr
5/10
195
41
42.89
*Caleb Brantley
DT
Florida
rJr
6/3
307
42
43.67
*Quincy Wilson
CB
Florida
Jr
6/1
211
43
44.89
Jarrad Davis
ILB
Florida
Sr
6/1
238
44
48.13
Obi Melifonwu
SS
Connecticut
rSr
6/4
224
45
48.14
*Carl Lawson
DE
Auburn
rJr
6/2
261
46
51.75
Jourdan Lewis
CB
Michigan
Sr
5/10
188
47
52.25
*Alvin Kamara
RB
Tennessee
rJr
5/10
214
48
55.13
*Curtis Samuel
WR
Ohio State
Jr
5/11
196
49
56.43
Chidobe Awuzie
CB
Colorado
Sr
6/1
202
50
57.17
*Joe Mixon
RB
Oklahoma
rSo
6/1
228
51
57.50
Jordan Willis
DE
Kansas State
Sr
6/4
255
52
58.00
*Adam Shaheen
TE
Ashland
rJr
6/6
278
53
58.25
Kevin King
CB
Washington
Sr
6/3
200
54
58.33
Dan Feeney
OG
Indiana
rSr
6/4
305
55
58.57
Zay Jones
WR
East Carolina
Sr
6/2
201
56
60.00
Chris Wormley
DT
Michigan
rSr
6/5
298
57
60.50
*Marcus Williams
FS
Utah
Jr
6/1
202
58
62.88
Gerald Everett
TE
So Alabama
rSr
6/3
239
59
63.63
*Sidney Jones
CB
Washington
Jr
6/1
186
60
64.13
Desmond King
FS
Iowa
Sr
5/10
201
61
64.43
Pat Elflein
C
Ohio State
rSr
6/3
303
62
64.86
Dion Dawkins
OG
Temple
Sr
6/4
314
63
65.20
Dorian Johnson
OG
Pittsburgh
Sr
6/5
300
64
65.67
Justin Evans
SS
Texas A&M
Sr
6/1
199
65
67.50
Ryan Anderson
OLB
Alabama
rSr
6/2
253
66
68.50
Taylor Moton
OT
W Michigan
rSr
6/5
319
67
69.00
Dalvin Tomlinson
DT
Alabama
rSr
6/3
310
68
69.43
*Raekwon McMillan
ILB
Ohio State
Jr
6/2
240
69
69.67
Marcus Maye
FS
Florida
rSr
6/1
210
70
70.00
*Josh Jones
SS
NC State
rJr
6/1
220
71
70.14
*JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR
USC
Jr
6/1
215
72
70.14
Fabian Moreau
CB
UCLA
rSr
6/1
206
73
70.75
Cordrea Tankersley
CB
Clemson
Sr
6/1
199
74
71.14
Cooper Kupp
WR
E Washington
rSr
6/2
204
75
71.17
Tyus Bowser
OLB
Houston
Sr
6/3
247
76
71.50
*Bucky Hodges
TE
Virginia Tech
rJr
6/6
257
77
71.88
*Chris Godwin
WR
Penn State
Jr
6/1
209
78
73.40
*Carlos Henderson
WR
Louisiana Tech
rJr
5/11
199
79
75.00
Antonio Garcia
OT
Troy
rSr
6/6
302
80
75.33
*ArDarius Stewart
WR
Alabama
rJr
5/11
204
81
75.40
Larry Ogunjobi
DT
Charlotte
rSr
6/3
305
82
77.29
DeMarcus Walker
DE
Florida State
Sr
6/4
280
83
77.71
Montravius Adams
DT
Auburn
Sr
6/4
304
84
79.00
Dede Westbrook
WR
Oklahoma
Sr
6/1
178
85
79.57
Tarell Basham
DE
Ohio
Sr
6/4
269
86
80.00
Ahkello Witherspoon
CB
Colorado
rSr
6/3
198
87
81.29
Ethan Pocic
C
LSU
Sr
6/6
310
88
81.50
Jake Butt
TE
Michigan
Sr
6/5
246
89
81.80
*D'Onta Foreman
RB
Texas
Jr
6/1
233
90
82.00
*Roderick Johnson
OT
Florida State
Jr
6/7
298
91
83.17
Cameron Sutton
CB
Tennessee
Sr
5/11
188
92
84.14
Rasul Douglas
CB
West Virginia
rSr
6/2
209
93
84.29
Taywan Taylor
WR
W Kentucky
Sr
5/11
203
94
86.57
Jaleel Johnson
DT
Iowa
rSr
6/3
316
95
87.17
Derek Rivers
DE
Youngstown St
Sr
6/4
248
96
88.83
*Chad Hansen
WR
California
rJr
6/2
202
97
91.25
Carlos Watkins
DT
Clemson
rSr
6/3
309
98
92.50
Amara Darboh
WR
Michigan
rSr
6/2
214
99
92.80
Tanoh Kpassagnon
DE
Villanova
Sr
6/7
289
100
93.75
Nathan Peterman
QB
Pittsburgh
rSr
6/2
226