Monday, January 16, 2017

Underclassmen declarations


This year the deadline for underclassmen to declare for the 2017 NFL Draft was Monday Jan 16th. The number of underclassmen declaring each year has mostly seen steady growth with a real explosion starting in 2012 and the implementation of the rookie salary cap. Here is a chart of the past 10 years:

Year
Underclassmen leaving
Year
Underclassmen leaving
2016
96
2011
56
2015
74
2010
53
2014
98
2009
46
2013
73
2008
53
2012
65
2007
40









Notably 2015 is an exception to the rise. That year, the NFL advisory board changed how they evaluated and graded potential NFL prospects. Prior to 2015, players were given grades in the categories:

-           In the 1st round
-          As high as 2nd round
-          As high as 3rd round
-          After the 3rd round
-          In no round at all

The board had a pretty solid track record, with a 73.7% accuracy rate. However, nearly 53% of players who received an “After the 3rd round” or worse grade from 2012 to 2014 weren’t drafted at all and the big year of 2014 saw 37% of all the underclassmen go completely undrafted. So the system was changed. Currently, players who submit their resume to the advisory board are give 3 levels of grades:

-          1st round
-          2nd round
-          Neither (and the board advises them to stay in school)

In addition, the number of players from any one school allowed to submit to the advisory board was limited to five. These factors served to curb early entrants in 2015. However 2016 saw the number soar right back to previous levels and 2017 is keeping with that trend.

In the 2017 NFL Draft class, there are 98 underclassmen declared eligible for the draft (with official list from the NFL due out on Friday Jan 20th). These underclassmen have increasingly dominated Day 1 and 2 of the NFL draft. In fact, 20 of the Top 25 prospects and 38 of the Top 50 on www.nfldraftscout.com are underclassmen. Here is the unofficial list of declared underclassmen:



» Jamal Adams
S
LSU 
» Alex Anzalone
LB
Florida 
» Budda Baker
S
Washington 
» Derek Barnett
DE
Tennessee 
» Garett Bolles
OT
Utah 
» Caleb Brantley
DT
Florida 
» Noah Brown
WR
Ohio State 
» KD Cannon
WR
Baylor 
» Gareon Conley
CB
Ohio State 
» James Conner
RB
Pitt 
» Dalvin Cook
RB
Florida State 
» Zach Cunningham
LB
Vanderbilt
» Malachi Dupre
WR
LSU 
» Ukeme Eligwe
LB
GA Souther
» Jerod Evans
QB
Virginia Tech 
» Isaiah Ford
WR
Virginia Tech 
» D'Onta Foreman
RB
Texas 
» Leonard Fournette
RB
LSU 
» Wayne Gallman
RB
Clemson 
» Myles Garrett
DE
Texas A&M 
» Shelton Gibson
WR
West Virginia 
» Davon Godchaux
DL
LSU 
» Chris Godwin
WR
Penn State 
» Jermaine Grace
LB
Miami 
» Derrick Griffin
WR
TX Southern
» Chad Hansen
WR
Cal 
» Charles Harris
DE
Missouri 
» Carlos Henderson
WR
Louisiana Tech 
» Brian Hill
RB
Wyoming 
» Bucky Hodges
TE
Virginia Tech 
» Elijah Hood
RB
North Carolina 
» Malik Hooker
S
Ohio State 
» Marlon Humphrey
CB
Alabama 
» Adoree' Jackson
CB
USC
» Roderick Johnson
OT
Florida State 
» Aaron Jones
RB
UTEP 
» Josh Jones
S
N.C. State 
» Nazair Jones
DT
North Carolina 
» Sidney Jones
CB
Washington 
» Brad Kaaya
QB
Miami 
» Alvin Kamara
RB
Tennessee 
» DeShone Kizer
QB
Notre Dame 
» Jerome Lane
WR
Akron 
» Marshon Lattimore
CB
Ohio State 
» Carl Lawson
DE
Auburn 
» Elijah Lee
LB
Kansas State 
» Marlon Mack
RB
USF 
» Patrick Mahomes
QB
Texas Tech 
» Josh Malone
WR
Tennessee 
» Damien Mama
OL
USC 
» Christian McCaffrey
RB
Stanford 
» Malik McDowell
DL
Michigan State 
» Isaiah McKenzie
WR
Georgia 
» Deon-Tay McManus
WR
Marshall 
» Raekwon McMillan
LB
Ohio State 
» Jeremy McNichols
RB
Boise State 
» Joe Mixon
RB
Oklahoma 
» Al-Quadin Muhammad
DE
Miami 
» Montae Nicholson
S
Michigan State 
» David Njoku
TE
Miami 
» Speedy Noil
WR
Texas A&M 
» Marcus Oliver
LB
Indiana 
» Jabrill Peppers
LB/S
Michigan 
» Samaje Perine
RB
Oklahoma 
» Elijah Qualls
DL
Washington 
» Ryan Ramczyk
OT
Wisconsin 
» Devine Redding
RB
Indiana 
» Cam Robinson
OT
Alabama 
» John Ross
WR
Washington 
» Travis Rudolph
WR
FSU 
» Artavis Scott
WR
Clemson 
» Curtis Samuel
Ath
Ohio State 
» Ricky Seals-Jones
WR
Texas A&M 
» Adam Shaheen
TE
Ashland 
» David Sharpe
OL
Florida 
» Garrett Sickels
DE
Penn State 
» JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR
USC 
» ArDarius Stewart
WR
Alabama 
» Damore'ea Stringfellow
WR
Ole Miss 
» Teez Tabor
CB
Florida 
» Vincent Taylor
DT
Oklahoma St
» Solomon Thomas
DL
Stanford 
» Mitch Trubisky
QB
North Carolina 
» Eddie Vanderdoes
DL
UCLA 
» Anthony Walker
LB
Northwestern 
» Charles Walker
DL
Oklahoma 
» Deshaun Watson
QB
Clemson 
» T.J. Watt
LB
Wisconsin 
» Marcus Williams
S
Utah 
» Stanley "Boom" Williams
RB
Kentucky 
» Mike Williams
WR
Clemson 
» Howard Wilson
CB
Houston 
» Quincy Wilson
CB
Florida 
» Joe Yearby
RB
Miami
» Ishmael Zamora
WR
Baylor



This week starts practices at the East/West Shrine game in St. Petersburg, FL. A full write up of those events as well as a Senior Bowl preview coming next week.