With the champion crowned and the
2016 season officially in the books, the focus of the football world finally
turns to the offseason in earnest. The postseason college bowls are done, the
Scouting Combine in Indy is 3 weeks away and free agency starts March 9th.
So there is no better time (and no fan-friendlier way) to assess where we are
in the draft process than a 1st round mock draft. Mock drafts at
this stage are more about lining up a team’s primary needs with the talent
available as we currently see it. In other words, they aren’t really worth the
paper they are printed on. But it is a fun exercise and creates interesting
talking points, so here goes!
1. Cleveland
Browns – Myles Garrett, OLB, Texas A&M
In this offseason
there are approximately 9 QB needy teams (Cle, SF, Chi, NYJ, Buf, Ari, Wash,
Den and Hou), 6 big free agent QBs (Romo, Garoppolo, Cousins, Cutler, Glennon
and Tyrod Taylor) and 3-4 QBs to be considered in the 1st round (Trubisky,
Kizer, Mahomes and Watson). Therefore each team will have to find their piece
of that puzzle. I expect the Browns to attempt to answer their QB questions
with later picks and/or free agency and therefore take the best player in this
draft, the Aggie edge rusher.
2. San
Francisco 49ers – Mitch Trubisky, QB, UNC
The Niners are
also a QB needy team and address this with the most polished yet least
experienced QB in this class in Trubisky.
3. Chicago
Bears – Jonathan Allen, DT/DE, Alabama
The Bears could
also go QB here but I think will instead be more aggressive in free agency and
seek a developmental QB in later rounds. Instead the Bears bolster their DL
with the big man from Bama.
4. Jacksonville
Jaguars – Jamal Adams, S/LB, LSU
As the first team
somewhat settled at quarterback (maybe?) the Jags will take the best player
available and that is the do-everything DB from LSU Adams. With the prospect of
free agent SS Cyprien leaving, the Jags can fill that slot and improve upon it
with Adams.
5. Tennessee
Titans – Malik Hooker, S, Ohio State
The Titans 2
biggest needs are in the secondary and at receiver. With 2 picks in the 1st
round, they could address both of those issues. The question is in which order.
Even though he will likely be out until summer with injuries, the Titans pull
the trigger on the Buckeye centerfielder to sure up their secondary.
6. New
York Jets – Marcus Lattimore, CB, Ohio State
By drafting
Christian Hackenberg in the 2nd round last year, the Jets are unlikely
to draft a QB high again and will likely pursue Mike Glennon in free agency.
Instead the Jets move Revis to FS and draft his replacement in Lattimore.
7. Los
Angeles Chargers – Deshaun Watson, QB, Clemson
New regimes
usually mean new quarterbacks and the Chargers have not only a new regime but
also a new city to sell to their fan base. With their best need filler in
Hooker off the board, the Chargers go for the splash and draft the reigning
champ in college football as the heir apparent to Rivers.
8. Carolina
Panthers – Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU
The Panthers need
someone to take the offensive focus off of Cam and Fournette has shown he is up
to the task. With two former SEC big bodies running in opposite directions on a
zone read, defenses in the NFC South should be on alert.
9. Cincinnati
Bengals – Soloman Thomas, DE, Stanford
The Bengals seem
to covet big end in their 4-3 defense and Thomas is an ideal fit to add punch
to their pass rush.
10. Buffalo
Bills – Mike Williams, WR, Clemson
The Bills are
thrilled to see Williams fall to them at 10 and pair two Clemson WRs (Williams
and Watkins) on the outside.
11. New
Orleans Saints – Reuban Foster, LB, Alabama
The Saints were
dreadful against the run last year need an enforcer in the middle of their
defense. Foster is just the guy they need.
12. Cleveland
Browns – OJ Howard, TE, Alabama
After seeing him
up close at the Senior Bowl in Mobile, the Browns get a go-to weapon for their
offense in Howard.
13. Arizona
Cardinals – Corey Davis, WR, Western Michigan
With Larry
Fitzgerald their best WR at age 37, the Cards must add weapons and get a guy
many compare to Antonio Brown in Davis.
14. Indianapolis
Colts – Dalvin Cook, RB, Florida State
The Colts are
desperate to add a running attack for Andrew Luck and overlook the many, many
red flags on Cook in order to do that.
15. Philadelphia
Eagles – Marlon Humphrey, CB, Alabama
The Eagles
secondary got torched last year and must be improved. With all the big WRs
gone, the Eagles take the son of Bobby Humphrey and a big physical corner from
Alabama.
16. Baltimore
Ravens – Cam Thomas, OT, Alabama
The Ravens took
their LT in last year’s draft and take their RT in this one. Thomas is a road
grader that can bookend the Ravens OL for a decade.
17. Washington
Redskins – John Ross, WR, Washington
The Redskins have
many needs this offseason including DL, LB and S. But also a need is at WR where
only Josh Doctson and Jamison Crowder are expected to return. The Redskins add
even more speed with the Huskies WR.
18. Tennessee
Titans – Teez Tabor, CB, Florida
With all the 1st
round WRs gone, the Titans continue to bolster their secondary with the sticky
man-cover corner from Florida.
19. Tampa
Bay Buccaneers – Christian McCaffrey, RB, Stanford
McCaffrey is a
versatile RB/WR type and an ideal fit in a Bucs offense in need of playmakers.
20. Denver
Broncos – Ryan Ramczyk, OT, Wisconsin
The offensive line
of the Broncos really regressed last season and needs to be rebuilt in their
new system. Ramczyk in the best overall OT prospect in this draft but will
likely slide based on medicals. If he sees the field in 2017, the Broncos will
have gotten a steal.
21. Detroit
Lions – Taco Charlton, DE, Michigan
The Lions stay
within the state to address their pass rush in Charlton. Paired with Ziggy
Ansah, the Lions hope they can finally get consistent pressure on opposing QBs.
22. Miami
Dolphins – David Njoku, TE, Miami
Njoku appeared out
of nowhere midway through the season for the Hurricanes and gave scouts flashes
of Jimmy Graham. The Dolphins have a big need for weapons around Tannehill and
Njoku is just that.
23. New
York Giants – Garrett Boles, OT, Utah
The Giants missed
out of Jack Conklin in last year’s draft and their OL was their undoing. Boles
was a JUCO transfer into Utah but showed great balance and skill in his brief
time there.
24. Oakland
Raiders – Zach Cunningham, LB, Vanderbilt
Cunningham is a
tackling machine and the Raiders have a huge void to fill in the middle of
their defense. If he gets this far down the board, the Raiders would happily
snap him up.
25. Houston
Texans – Pat Mahomes III, QB, Texas Tech
The Texans
desperately need a QB but are hamstrung by the Osweiler contract. By drafting
Mahomes, they can begin to develop their future at QB for a fixed cost.
26. Seattle
Seahawks – Forrest Lamp, G/T, Western Michigan
The Seahawks OL
was a revolving door last season and must be solidified. Lamp has had scouts raving
all season and has the position flex that Seattle typically covets.
27. Kansas
City Chiefs – Jarrad Davis, LB, Florida
Losing ILB Derrick
Johnson late last season really hurt that Chiefs defense and at age 34 he is
starting to show his age. Davis from Florida is built for speed and has a great
nose for the ball.
28. Dallas
Cowboys – Takkarist McKinley, DE, UCLA
The Cowboys have
never minded undersized DEs as long as they can get to the QB. And McKinley can
definitely do that, with 10 sacks last season for the Bruins. In fact the only
reason he could slide to Dallas are some injury concerns that will need to be
vetted at the Combine.
29. Green
Bay Packers – Quincy Wilson, CB, Florida
The Packers
secondary was riddled with injuries and was ultimately their Achilles heel. Wilson
is a solid corner, though not as flashy as his Florida teammate Tabor. But with
good size and technique, he is an instant starter for the Pack.
30. Pittsburgh
Steelers – Sidney Jones, CB, Washington
Like the Packers,
the Steelers too struggled at the CB spot. Jones is polarizing prospect among
scouts, with some in love with his cat-like reflexes and ball skills while
others worry about his thin frame and hesitance to get his nose dirty.
31. Atlanta
Falcons – Malik McDowell, DE/DT, Michigan State
The Falcons
defense ran out of gas versus the Patriots in Super Bowl LI and need more pass
rushers to pair with Vic Beasley. McDowell is versatile and adept both inside
and outside in getting to the QB.
32. New
England Patriots – Derek Barnett, DE, Tennessee
The Champs love to
find guys who don’t always have all the measurables but are just good football
players. That perfectly describes Barnett, who surpassed Reggie White’s Sack
total at Tennessee but probably won’t shine during the “underwear Olympics” at
the NFL Combine.
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