2015 Record:
13-3
2015 could have very well been the Cardinals year (as
predicted by Madden 2016) except for the juggernaut that was the Panthers. A
loss in the NFC Championship game and yet another injury to 36 year old Carson
Palmer put an end to hopes of another Super Bowl for this veteran squad. But
hope springs anew in the desert this season as a 2 year window for
Palmer/Fitzgerald and company makes the time to strike now.
Offseason Moves
Key Additions – G Evan Mathis, OLB Chandler Jones, CB/S
Tyvon Branch, LB Donald Butler, CB Mike Jenkins
Key Losses – T Bobby Massie, G Jonathan Cooper, C
Lyle Sendelein, DE Cory Redding, CB Jerraud Powers, S Rashad Johnson
2016 Draft Class – DE Robert Nkemdiche, CB Brandon
Williams, G/C Evan Boehm
2016 Offensive Outlook:
Offensive Coordinator – Harold Goodwin
Base Offense – 3WR 1 RB vertical attack
In 2015 a number of “wily” veterans stepped back into their
old form for the Cardinals, like RB Chris Johnson, WR Larry Fitzgerald and QB
Carson Palmer. Along with some new found talent in the youth of this team, the
Cardinals will need another solid year from these veterans and others to
finally get over the hump and being playing in Houston on Feb 5th.
Perhaps no one player holds the Cardinals fate like veteran
QB Carson Palmer. Each of the past 2 seasons has ended battling injuries as his
Cardinals fall in the playoffs. Keeping him upright and productive is vital. Behind
Palmer stands 32 year old Drew Stanton, a very capable backup who himself has
battled injuries in his brief stints. The 3rd QB spot will be a
battle between former USC Trojan Matt Barkley and UDFA Jake Coker from Alabama.
I expect Coker to win that spot and show some flashes in the preseason.
Running back was a bit of a question mark coming into 2015
after missing out on draft target Ameer Abdullah in the draft and settling for
David Johnson out of Northern Iowa. But Johnson paired with veteran Chris
Johnson to form a powerful RB tandem and finish with a top 10 rushing attack.
Chris Johnson was lost late in the season to a leg injury and the young rookie
stepped in to start. Now the Johnsons are joined by returning veteran Andre
Ellington and should provide nice balance to the Cardinals attack.
At wideout, the Cards boast some incredible depth with
Michael Floyd and speedster John Brown on the outside and old man Larry
Fitzgerald now fully integrated as a slot receiver. Fitzgerald represents a
trend that many teams (Jets, Bears, Steelers) are using with bigger WRs manning
the slot versus generally shorter nickel backs. Throw in return specialist and
also speedy JJ Nelson and the Cards have a good stockpile of weapons for
Palmer. The only real need for Arizona here is for Michael Floyd to become more
consistent and become a true #1 threat. At TE, Darren Fells and Jermaine
Gresham offer a nice balance of run blocking and pass catching ability and are
backed up by former Notre Damer Troy Niklas, who is still trying to overcome
injuries.
The O-line was much improved in 2015 and hopes to get even
better this season. Jared Veldheer at LT has been rock-solid, but RT now
belongs to former first round pick DJ Humphries. If Humphries can regain his
form out of college recovering from injury, the Cards have very nice bookends.
Inside, stalwart Mike Iupati is locked in at LG and newly acquired free agent
Even Mathis is at RG. The center position will be a battle after the departure
of Lyle Sendelein between journeyman AQ Shipley and 4th rounder Evan
Boehm out of Mizzou. Expect Boehm to get the nod eventually as being surrounded
by solid veterans will make the rookie’s transition easier.
Overall, the Cardinals should have no problem moving the
ball down the field in 2016. However, they must learn to be more consistent in
the red zone and must keep their veteran QB healthy for 16 games and beyond. If
they can do that, there is no reason this offense isn’t playing for a Super
Bowl.
2016 Defensive
Outlook:
Defensive Coordinator – James Bettcher
Base Defense – Hybrid 3-4 with heavy blitzing
tendencies
2015 saw the Cardinals pair their #1 ranked offense with the
#5 ranked defense. Despite not having a dominate pass rusher (leading sack man
was 36 year old Dwight Freeney with 8.0) the Cardinals schemed their way using
exotic blitzes and their amazing secondary. In 2016, they now have added an
edge rusher they hope can finally be a force in the pass rush and continue to
upgrade other parts through the draft. The question remains if their playmakers
can stay healthy and if this can finally be a championship squad.
On the defensive line, long-time veteran DE Cory Redding has
been replaced by rookie Robert Nkemdiche. Assuming they can keep him away from
suspension (and open windows) this should be a positive upgrade for the pass
rush. Returning starters DE Calais Campbell and NT Corey Peters (recovering
from Achilles surgery) are solid versus the run and the depth is also solid.
The D-line is ready to hold up its end of the bargain in 2016.
The Cards made a bold move this offseason, trading disappointing
1st round pick G Jonathan Cooper and a 2nd round pick to
New England for pass rusher Chandler Jones. This could finally be the
dominating presence this defense has lacked over the past few years as Jones is
in a contract year. Opposite him is former Mizzou Tiger Markus Golden who came
on at the end of 2015 with 3 of his 4 sacks in the final 6 games. Alex Okafor
and Shaq Riddick should also see some time in rotation. Inside, the Cardinals
have gone with speed over size, pairing LB Kevin Minter with converted safety Deone
Bucannon as starters. If the D-line can keep these two clean to roam both
versus the run and the pass it is perhaps the quickest 3-4 ILB group in the
league. Veteran Donald Butler was signed for depth and toughness.
The secondary is loaded with star power, headlined by star
CB Patrick Peterson. Opposite Peterson is a battle between incumbent Justin
Bethel, FA Mike Jenkins, rookie 3rd round pick Brandon Williams out
of Texas A&M and the recovering Honey Badger Tyrann Mathieu. The real key
to the Cardinals success in 2015 was Mathieu, who lines up all over the defense
from safety to nickel. His return to health is vital. In addition to Mathieu at
safety, the Cardinals signed Chiefs FA Tyvon Branch to add to run stuffer DJ
Swearinger and incumbent starterTony Jefferson. This mix-and-match element to
the secondary drives opposing QBs crazy and is the real key to the Cardinals
stop unit.
Overall, the Cardinals need rookies Nkemdiche and Williams to
contribute immediately and need star DB Tyrann Mathieu to come back healthy
from his 2nd ACL tear. If those 2 things happen, this unit is ready
to make a run at the championship.
2016 Prediction:
Record – 14-2 (1st in the NFC West)
If the injury bug will stay out of the desert, the Cardinals
should be the #1 seed in the NFC and the favorite to go to Super Bowl LI.
Perhaps the trainers should be the first to hoist the Lombardi trophy if they
win it this year, with the recoveries of Palmer, Mathieu, CJ2K, Peters and many
others needed for a Super Bowl run. If that happens or they can find the depth
to fill in, Arizona should be playing well into 2017.
Fantasy Oulook:
Stud – Arizona D, David Johnson
Sleeper – WR John Brown, TE Darren Fells
Bust – WR Michael Floyd